Candlestick – Forex Trading Strategy

Candlestick – Forex Trading Strategy

Candlestick charts are the most common chart types used by retail traders and investors. There are other types of charts such as line charts, bar charts etc., but they don’t tell the story of past price action like candlesticks do. When trading is based on technical analysis, the decisions for future price action are made based on how the price has reacted in the past. I find candlesticks to be very useful and they are one of my favorite indicators. They work almost perfectly in volatile times, but even in less volatile times they work pretty well if used in combination with one or two other indicators.

Candlesticks are the price movement/action for a certain period of time, from as little as 1 minute to a week or a month. The body of the candlestick is the price difference between the opening and the closing time. The two lines on each side, which are called shadows or wicks, display the highest and the lowest point of the price for that period of time. The green candlestick in the picture below is a bullish candlestick in which the closing point is higher than the opening and the red one is a bearish candlestick, indicating that the price at closing was lower than at opening. The colors of the body is irrelevant, you can set them to your preference.

Green candlestick is a bullish candlestick and red candlestick is a bearish candlestick.

Now that we have explained what a candlestick is, let’s see the different shapes that a candlestick can take.

Traders carry out technical analysis to build ideas and strategies for possible future trades. Candlestick formations are a very useful tool for indicating possibilities for entries and exits. I use candlesticks as one of my two or three indicators on most of the trades that I make. Their shapes show you what’s going on with the price very clearly. Let’s see some of the most popular and easy to trade candlesticks and how they can be interpreted.

Dojis – In a doji, price opens and closes almost at the same level after having been trading both sides. Buyers and sellers both have a go at pushing the price higher and lower, but finally the price ends up at the starting point. This means that forces are the same from both directions and after an uptrend where buyers had the upper hand, a doji indicates that the sellers are back in business. So a reversal or at least a pullback is about to take place. The opposite applies to a downtrend.

Left – this is how a typical doji candlestick looks

Left – this is how a typical doji candlestick looks

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Pins/Reverse Pins – In a pin candlestick the price trades below the opening level and ends up at the same level by the time of the period close. This means that the buyers are matching the sellers and in a downtrend it means that the bears are losing steam, therefore a reversal might take place. In an uptrend a pin means that the sellers had a go at pushing the price down but were outnumbered by the buyers, so this is a confirmation of the trend continuation and longs have much better odds then shorts.

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In an uptrend, pin candlesticks usually indicate the continuation of the trend.

In an uptrend, pin candlesticks usually indicate the continuation of the trend.

Reverse pins are the same as pins but act on the opposite direction: the candle opens, bulls have a go, bears charge in to take the price to the opening level. In an uptrend this means that a downtrend is about to begin; in a downtrend a reversal pin indicates a trend continuation.

Reverse Pinscandle5

Hammers/Reverse Hammers – Hammers are basically the same as pins and reverse pins, but with a stronger momentum. In a downtrend hammer the price opens, trades below and closes above the opening level, which means that the buyers more than matched the sellers. The size of the shadow might vary, some argue it should be at least twice the size of the body, but one thing is for sure; the bigger the shadow/wick, the bigger and stronger the reversal. This is true for pins as well. In an uptrend, a hammer is a sign of a trend continuation. Reverse hammers are the opposite, same as reverse pins, indicate trend change in an uptrend and trend continuation in a downtrend.

hammer reversalhammer reversal2

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Morning/Evening Star – Morning stars and evening stars can only mean one thing, a reversal. A morning star formation includes three candles, a bearish candle, a neutral candle and a bullish candle, which means price will rise, hence the name ‘morning star’. Evening stars consist of a bullish candle, an indecisive one and a bearish candle, indicating a fall in the price. Between the three candles there are supposed to be gaps, which could only happen on daily or weekly charts, but that’s not always the case.

morning starevening star

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Bearish/Bullish Engulfing – A bearish engulfing is a much bigger bear candle than the previous bull candle, hence the name ‘engulfing’, the new candle engulfs the previous candle. Only the body is taken into account. In this formation the trend doesn’t matter, it indicates a fall regardless of the trend. Vice versa for the bullish engulfing.

Bullish engulfing reversal and continuation – bullish engulfing formation are followed by rises in the price

Bullish engulfing reversal and continuation – bullish engulfing formation are followed by rises in the price

BearishEngulfing Bullish Engulfing Bearish engulfing reversal – falls follow each bearish engulfing candle.

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